New Vaccine Plan Reveals Just How Close We Are to Another Pandemic

ra2 studio / shutterstock.com
ra2 studio / shutterstock.com

There’s a new buzzword in town: H5N1. If you’ve been following the chatter around avian flu, you’re not alone. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is paying attention, and now they’re pushing for a whole new approach when it comes to pandemic vaccines. And trust me, it’s worth your attention, especially as the threat of avian flu becoming a problem for humans looms larger.

Last Thursday, at the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee meeting, Jerry Weir, the FDA’s director of the Division of Viral Products, threw down the gauntlet. He asked the committee to re-evaluate the influenza vaccine strain change process—essentially, how we prepare vaccines ahead of pandemics like the one we’re all hoping doesn’t happen. It’s a bold move, and one that could change the way we respond to viral threats in the future.

The Current Strategy: Outdated?

Here’s how things work now: vaccines are developed before a pandemic hits, targeted toward specific high-risk viruses. Makes sense, right? Plan ahead and be ready for the worst. Once the pandemic starts, these vaccines can be deployed, as long as they’ve met the basic safety standards based on established manufacturing processes. In fact, they don’t even need new clinical trials because they follow the same blueprint as the seasonal influenza vaccines, which have been produced for years using eggs or cell lines.

The FDA argues that the assumption of safety comes from years of successful production for seasonal influenza. They’ve used the same techniques to produce those flu shots you might get every fall, and they’re hoping to ride that wave into pandemic preparedness. But that’s where the new plan comes in—because the flu we see every winter might not be the same as a pandemic flu that could pop up out of nowhere.

A New Plan for a New Era

So, what’s the FDA’s big idea? They want these vaccines to not only be ready in case of a pandemic, but also to be regularly updated. That means staying ahead of the game by continuously tweaking the vaccine based on whichever flu strain is circulating at the time. Think of it like updating your software—if your system is vulnerable to viruses, you don’t wait for it to crash. You install those updates and stay protected.

Should an H5N1 pandemic actually break out, the plan is to use the same method as we currently do for seasonal influenza vaccines. But here’s the twist: they’d be able to adapt the vaccine while the pandemic is still happening. This is a shift from just reacting to what’s already here to anticipating how the virus might evolve and staying one step ahead.

Todd Davis, acting chief of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) Virology, Surveillance, and Diagnosis Branch, made it clear that while H5N1 hasn’t mutated to become easily transmissible among humans, we shouldn’t rest easy just yet. There have been 16 cases of human infection reported so far, and while that might not sound like a lot, it’s enough to keep experts on high alert.

Vaccine Production: Who’s Ready?

If you’re wondering who’s going to be responsible for making these vaccines, the answer lies with three pharmaceutical companies that already have partnerships in place with the National Pre-pandemic Influenza Vaccine Stockpile. These companies are ready to produce traditional egg-based and cell-based influenza vaccines if the need arises. It’s worth noting, however, that mRNA vaccines—the new kid on the block thanks to COVID-19—aren’t currently part of the preparedness activities. But that could change as we look to the future.

Christine Oshansky, director of the pandemic vaccine and adjuvant program at the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA), pointed out that since 2022, efforts have been ramping up to produce vaccines targeting the H5 viruses. That’s when a new H5 variant was found in wild birds and poultry in the U.S. And as of now, three phase 2 clinical trials are underway to test different types of H5-type vaccines. The trials, sponsored by GSK and CSL Seqirus, have finished enrollment, while BARDA is still recruiting participants for a third trial with a new type of vaccine composition.

Interestingly, none of the vaccines being tested involve the current strain of H5N1 that’s causing concern. Why? Because the trials started before this strain was even circulating. So, we’ll have to wait until phase 3 trials begin next year to really get a feel for how effective these vaccines will be.

What’s Next?

The FDA is clearly laying the groundwork for a new, more adaptable vaccine strategy. We’ve learned a lot from COVID-19, and it’s obvious that flexibility in vaccine production and distribution is key to staying ahead of future pandemics. This approach might be the answer to dealing with viruses that are constantly evolving, especially ones like H5N1 that have the potential to jump from animals to humans.

In the meantime, it’s essential to stay informed. The more we know about what’s happening behind the scenes with vaccine development, the better prepared we’ll be if—or when—a new flu pandemic hits. And with phase 3 trials starting next year, there’s hope that we’ll be ready with a safe and effective vaccine that can keep us protected from H5N1 and whatever else nature throws our way.

So, while the FDA and the experts continue to refine their strategies, it’s up to us to stay engaged, stay informed, and be prepared for whatever comes next. After all, when it comes to health, it’s better to be proactive than reactive.